Model an explicit half-loss rule on zero

A half-loss-on-zero rule changes the zero outcome for the eligible bet, not every bet on the table.

The distinction that matters

Assume 18 winning, 18 losing and one zero outcome. A one-unit even-money bet wins one unit, loses one unit, or loses half a unit on zero. Expected net result is (18 − 18 − 0.5) / 37 = −0.5/37, approximately −1.35135%. The derivation depends on that exact settlement rule.

A worked example

On hypothetical C$370 turnover consisting solely of eligible bets, expected cost is C$5. Applying the same percentage to single-number bets would be unjustified unless their own rules produced the same outcomes. The source must state which wagers qualify.

Your next steps

  • Confirm that zero returns half the stake for this bet.
  • Keep eligible and ineligible bets separate.
  • Check for additional conditions or exceptions.
  • Use the stated rule rather than relying on a table's marketing name.

Where this answer stops

This calculation does not assert that any Ontario operator offers the rule. A hold-over or 'en prison' rule is a different process and must not be substituted without a separate derivation.

Sources & reading

Original Northline explanation. Worked examples use stated assumptions; they do not establish an operator’s policy or predict personal results. Read how we handle evidence.

An editorial review date is not a new policy effective date. Always check the current source for operator-specific conditions.

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Taking a break is a valid next step.

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